Our Goal

The goal of CSEP is to develop a virtual, distributed laboratory-a collaboratory-that can support a wide range of scientific prediction experiments in multiple regional or global natural laboratories. This earthquake system science approach seeks to provide answers to the questions: (1) How should scientific prediction experiments be conducted and evaluated? and (2) What is the intrinsic predictability of the earthquake rupture process?

A major focus of CSEP is to develop international collaborations between the regional testing centers and to accommodate a wide-ranging set of prediction experiments involving geographically distributed fault systems in different tectonic environments.

Initial development of the CSEP testing center is funded by the W. H. Keck Foundation.
  Announcements

We are pleased to announce that the CSEP Testing Center version 1.0 began operations on September 1st 2007. The current CSEP Testing Center runs both long term (5 year) forecast models and daily forecast models for the Southern California region natural laboratory and performs evaluations of these forecasts using observed seismicity as recorded in the ANSS earthquake catalog.

The forecast evaluation reports produced by the CSEP testing center are available to registered CSEP participants. Please visit the SCEC CSEP web site for more information.


Links: SCEC Testing Center | SCEC | USGS | ETH | GNS
© 2007 CSEP