RELM


	Overview of the Working Group for the Development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) Edward H. Field U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena Download
	Earthquake Likelihood Model Testing D. Schorlemmer, M. C. Gerstenberger, S. Wiemer, D. D. Jackson, and D. A. Rhoades Download
	RELM Testing Center D. Schorlemmer, ETH Zürich, Switzerland M. C. Gerstenberger, U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena Download
	Seismic Hazard Inferred from Tectonics: California Peter Bird and Zhen Liu Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California-Los Angeles Download
	Real Time Forecasts through an Earthquake Clustering Model Constrained by the Rate-and- State Constitutive Law: Comparison with a Purely Stochastic ETAS Model Rodolfo Console, Maura Murru, Flaminia Catalli, and Giuseppe Falcone Download
	Non-Poissonian Earthquake Clustering and the Hidden Markov Model as Bases for Earthquake Forecasting in California John E. Ebel, Daniel W. Chambers, Alan L. Kafka, and Jenny A. Baglivo Download
	Short-term Aftershock Probabilities: Case Studies in California M. C. Gerstenberger, U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena L. M. Jones, U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena S. Wiemer, ETH Zürich Download
	High-resolution Time-independent Grid-based Forecast for M ≥ 5 Earthquakes in California Agnès Helmstetter, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University Yan Y. Kagan and David D. Jackson, Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California—Los Angeles Download
	A RELM Earthquake Forecast Based on Pattern Informatics James R. Holliday, Chien-chih Chen, Kristy F. Tiampo, John B. Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte, and Andrea Donnellan Download
	A Testable Five-Year Forecast of Moderate and Large Earthquakes in Southern California Based on Smoothed Seismicity Yan Y. Kagan and David D. Jackson, Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California-Los Angeles Yufang Rong, AIR-Worldwide Corporation Download
	Time-independent and Time-dependent Seismic Hazard Assessment for the State of California: Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Model 1.0 Mark D. Petersen, Tianqing Cao, Kenneth W. Campbell, and Arthur D. Frankel Download
	Application of the EEPAS Model to Forecasting Earthquakes of Moderate Magnitude in Southern California David A. Rhoades GNS Science Download
	Implications of Geodetic Strain Rate for Future Earthquakes, with a Five-Year Forecast of M5 Earthquakes in Southern California Zheng-Kang Shen, David D. Jackson, and Yan Y. Kagan Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California-Los Angeles Download
	Methods for Evaluating Earthquake Potential and Likelihood in and around California Steven N. Ward Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California—Santa Cruz Download
	ALM: An Asperity-based Likelihood Model for California Stefan Wiemer and Danijel Schorlemmer1 ETH Zürich, Switzerland Download